GOOD NEWS FOR BUFFALO BILLS: The Bills’ chances of winning the Super Bowl are higher than ever after analysts pointed out three points that could allow Josh Allen and his teammates to beat other teams.
As the NFL playoffs heat up in January 2026, one team is generating more excitement and optimism than any other: the Buffalo Bills.
After years of heartbreaking postseason exits, expert analysts from across the league have begun to treat Buffalo not as a hopeful contender, but as the outright favorite to win Super Bowl LX.
The reason? A powerful convergence of three decisive factors that, when combined, create what many are calling the most complete and dangerous roster the Bills have ever fielded.
Leading voices from ESPN, NFL Network, The Athletic, and Pro Football Focus have zeroed in on the same trio of strengths — and the conclusion is strikingly consistent: Josh Allen and the Bills are better positioned to win it all than at any point in the modern era.
1. Josh Allen Has Become a Truly Unstoppable Force
The first — and most obvious — reason for Buffalo’s elevated status is the continued evolution of quarterback Josh Allen into one of the greatest players the sport has ever seen.
No longer just a physical marvel with a cannon for an arm, the 29-year-old has added the kind of refined mastery that separates good quarterbacks from legends. Analysts point to several concrete improvements that have taken his game to another level:
His intermediate and deep-ball accuracy has improved dramatically, with completion percentage on throws of 20+ air yards rising to elite levels never before seen in his career. Decision-making under pressure has reached an entirely new tier.
The Bills have reduced sacks allowed per dropback by nearly 40% over the past two seasons, largely because Allen now escapes trouble without forcing dangerous throws. Perhaps most importantly, Allen has become a pre-snap maestro.
Buffalo leads the entire NFL in expected points added (EPA) per play when the quarterback makes an audible or adjustment at the line.
The physical gifts were always present — 6’5″, over 250 pounds, sub-4.7 speed, and one of the strongest arms in NFL history — but the mental side has now caught up completely.
Talent evaluators have quietly begun comparing Allen’s current form to peak Patrick Mahomes (2018–2020), with some MVP voters suggesting this might be the best individual quarterback season since Mahomes’ historic 2018 campaign.
When a quarterback reaches this transcendent level, the rest of the team benefits exponentially. Elite QBs mask weaknesses; truly special ones turn good teams into juggernauts. Right now, Josh Allen is doing exactly that.
2. A Modern, Championship-Caliber Defense
The second major factor is the quiet but dramatic transformation of the Bills’ defense into a unit that appears purpose-built to defeat the current crop of Super Bowl contenders.
For years, Buffalo was known as an offense-first team that leaned heavily on Allen to outscore opponents. That identity has shifted.
Under defensive coordinator Bobby Babich (who has taken over the reins with remarkable success), the Bills now field one of the league’s most complete and versatile defenses — and crucially, one designed for the modern NFL.
Key strengths include:
A ferocious four-man pass rush that ranks among the top five in pressure rate without needing to blitz frequently. Greg Rousseau has blossomed into a superstar edge rusher, Von Miller remains lethal in
GOOD NEWS FOR BUFFALO BILLS: The Bills’ chances of winning the Super Bowl are higher than ever after analysts pointed out three points that could allow Josh Allen and his teammates to beat other teams.
situational packages, and Ed Oliver continues to collapse pockets from the interior.
A secondary that has gone from solid to potentially elite. Christian Benford and Rasul Douglas form one of the league’s most imposing outside cornerback duos, while rookie first-round pick Maxwell Hairston has quickly established himself as one of the best slot corners in football. Exceptional linebacker play and scheme versatility.
When healthy, Matt Milano remains one of the smartest and most instinctive players in the league, while Dorian Williams has emerged as a matchup nightmare for tight ends and running backs in coverage.
The result is a defense that thrives against the exact styles that have defined recent champions.
Buffalo ranks in the top five in DVOA and success rate against both 11 personnel (three-receiver) and 12 personnel (two-tight end) looks — precisely the packages Kansas City, Detroit, Philadelphia, and Baltimore love to deploy.
In short, the Bills have constructed the perfect antidote to the league’s current offensive trends.
3. Offensive Line Stability and a Legitimate Run Game
The third — and perhaps most underrated — development is the long-awaited stabilization of the offensive line and the emergence of a credible, physical run game.
After years of patchwork units, injuries, and inconsistent play, Buffalo finally appears to have solved its biggest Achilles’ heel. The current starting five features:
Left tackle Dion Dawkins, still playing at a Pro Bowl level Right guard O’Cyrus Torrence, who has developed into one of the league’s most dominant interior linemen Center Connor McGovern providing steady leadership Depth pieces and young talents who have stepped up when called upon
The numbers tell the story: the Bills now rank inside the top seven in adjusted sack rate allowed and have climbed into the top ten in yards before contact per rush attempt.
Even more significantly, the team has embraced a downhill, physical identity on the ground. James Cook has blossomed into a true three-down workhorse capable of both explosive plays and between-the-tackles power.
Meanwhile, the passing game has been bolstered by continued production from Stefon Diggs-level weapons, including the emergence of Keon Coleman as a true vertical threat and Khalil Shakir as a reliable chain-mover.
This combination — improved protection, a legitimate run threat, and explosive playmakers — has created an offense that is nearly impossible to defend for four quarters, especially in the cold-weather environments that define January football in Buffalo.
The Verdict: The Bills Are Built to Win It All
When these three elements are viewed together — a quarterback playing at a historic level, a defense tailor-made to stop modern offenses, and an offensive foundation that finally supports the star QB — the conclusion is clear and nearly unanimous among analysts.
The Buffalo Bills are no longer the perennial “almost” team. They are the team most experts believe will raise the Lombardi Trophy in February 2026.
Of course, the playoffs remain unpredictable. Injuries, officiating, bounces, and sheer luck still matter. But as the postseason approaches, the Bills enter with the clearest and most convincing path to a championship that the franchise has ever had.
After more than three decades of waiting, the long-suffering fans in Western New York may finally get their moment. Josh Allen, who has carried the weight of hope for so many years, might soon carry something far heavier — and infinitely more rewarding.
The Lombardi Trophy could finally be coming to Buffalo. And right now, it feels like destiny.
